Mercantil U19 vs CF Damm U19 B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
29.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
2º
9º
4º
50
1º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 43 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 21 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mercantil U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
FIG
0 - 2
CEM
25%
21%
54%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
CEM
4 - 2
UFB
75%
15%
10%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SAB
4 - 0
CEM
49%
22%
30%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CEM
2 - 0
MAR
51%
21%
28%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CLU
1 - 2
CEM
34%
22%
44%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
CF Damm U19 B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
CFD
0 - 2
CER
81%
12%
7%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
MAN
2 - 3
CFD
62%
20%
18%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
CFD
4 - 3
FCB
34%
24%
42%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
UDU
2 - 1
CFD
13%
20%
67%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CFD
0 - 3
RCD
42%
24%
34%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |