Cruz Azul vs Veracruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
13.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
CAZ
1 - 1
PAC
58%
24%
18%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
JAG
0 - 1
CAZ
37%
26%
37%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2014 |
PAC
1 - 1
CAZ
37%
27%
36%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
CAZ
2 - 1
SAN
40%
26%
34%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
MON
0 - 0
CAZ
49%
25%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Veracruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
VER
0 - 0
LOB
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
VER
1 - 1
CHI
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2014 |
LOB
0 - 4
VER
33%
25%
42%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
VER
2 - 1
ATL
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
JAG
1 - 1
VER
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |