Cruz Azul vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
25%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
SAN
4 - 0
CAZ
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
CAZ
1 - 0
NEC
56%
24%
20%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
AUR
0 - 0
CAZ
31%
27%
42%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
CAZ
2 - 2
PUE
45%
26%
29%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
ATS
3 - 2
CAZ
38%
28%
34%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
TOL
3 - 1
TIJ
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
TOL
1 - 1
PUE
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
JUA
1 - 1
TOL
27%
26%
47%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
LEO
0 - 1
TOL
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
TOL
2 - 1
SAN
44%
25%
31%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |