Cruz Azul vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
25.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2014 |
CHI
0 - 0
CAZ
26%
27%
47%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
CAZ
2 - 1
QRO
57%
25%
19%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
CHO
1 - 0
CAZ
22%
26%
52%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
MON
3 - 1
CAZ
50%
25%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
CAZ
1 - 0
PUE
59%
24%
18%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
TOL
2 - 1
VER
69%
20%
11%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 3
TOL
33%
27%
40%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 0
TOL
55%
23%
22%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
TOL
3 - 2
ATL
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
TOL
3 - 0
PAC
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |