Cruz Azul vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
25.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2009 |
COC
0 - 2
CAZ
41%
25%
33%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
CAZ
4 - 2
SNL
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
PRI
3 - 3
CAZ
26%
25%
49%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
ATS
0 - 1
CAZ
40%
26%
34%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
CAZ
2 - 0
IND
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2009 |
TOL
3 - 0
SAN
78%
15%
7%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
TOL
2 - 0
ATS
54%
24%
23%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2009 |
TOL
7 - 0
MAR
62%
21%
16%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
IND
0 - 1
TOL
34%
28%
38%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
TOL
1 - 0
MOR
52%
25%
23%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |