Liga MX Finals - Apertura Final
Global 2-2
Cruz Azul vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
23.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
ATL
1 - 1
CAZ
48%
24%
27%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2008 |
CAZ
3 - 1
ATL
56%
24%
20%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2008 |
PUM
1 - 3
CAZ
52%
24%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
CAZ
0 - 0
PUM
55%
24%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
CAZ
4 - 1
JAG
50%
24%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
TOL
2 - 1
SAN
44%
26%
30%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2008 |
SAN
0 - 0
TOL
52%
26%
22%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
TOL
2 - 0
EST
47%
26%
27%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
EST
0 - 0
TOL
58%
23%
19%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
TOL
1 - 0
SNL
50%
25%
25%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |