Liga MX Finals - Apertura Quarter-finals
Global 0-1
Cruz Azul vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
26.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2005 |
TOL
1 - 0
CAZ
55%
24%
22%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
PAC
0 - 0
CAZ
43%
25%
31%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
CAZ
1 - 2
MON
52%
23%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2005 |
AME
1 - 0
CAZ
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
VER
0 - 1
CAZ
33%
25%
42%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2005 |
TOL
1 - 0
CAZ
55%
24%
22%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
TOL
3 - 0
CHI
52%
24%
24%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
SAN
4 - 1
TOL
45%
25%
31%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
TOL
2 - 2
DOR
74%
15%
11%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
TIG
1 - 3
TOL
49%
25%
26%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |