Cruz Azul vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
37%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
TIG
1 - 1
CAZ
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
CAZ
2 - 0
QRO
72%
18%
10%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
MOR
2 - 0
CAZ
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2004 |
SAN
3 - 2
CAZ
58%
22%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
CAZ
1 - 2
PAC
51%
24%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
TOL
2 - 2
PUM
57%
22%
21%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
PUE
1 - 2
TOL
27%
25%
48%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
TOL
2 - 2
NEC
60%
21%
19%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
CHI
0 - 0
TOL
37%
27%
37%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2004 |
TOL
1 - 1
IRA
82%
12%
6%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |