Cruz Azul vs Necaxa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
AUR
0 - 0
CAZ
31%
27%
42%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
CAZ
2 - 2
PUE
45%
26%
29%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
ATS
3 - 2
CAZ
38%
28%
34%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
CAZ
1 - 2
PAC
35%
26%
39%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
TIG
2 - 3
CAZ
50%
25%
25%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
NEC
2 - 0
PAC
27%
25%
48%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
NEC
1 - 0
JUA
57%
25%
19%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
PUM
1 - 0
NEC
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2022 |
QRO
1 - 2
NEC
40%
27%
34%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
NEC
1 - 3
TOL
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |