Cruz Azul vs Necaxa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2022 |
LEO
0 - 1
CAZ
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
AME
3 - 1
CAZ
49%
26%
25%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
MON
2 - 2
CAZ
45%
27%
28%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
CAZ
1 - 0
JUA
63%
22%
15%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
CAZ
2 - 0
TIJ
56%
24%
20%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
NEC
1 - 3
PAC
28%
25%
47%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 4
NEC
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
NEC
0 - 4
MON
27%
26%
47%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
JUA
2 - 1
NEC
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2021 |
NEC
2 - 3
CHI
41%
28%
31%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |