Cruz Azul vs Lobos BUAP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
15.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
PUM
1 - 2
CAZ
44%
25%
31%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2018 |
MON
0 - 2
CAZ
64%
20%
16%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
CAZ
0 - 0
AME
33%
26%
42%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2018 |
CAZ
1 - 1
LEO
47%
26%
27%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
QRO
2 - 0
CAZ
34%
27%
39%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
LOB
3 - 1
TIJ
31%
28%
41%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
TIG
2 - 2
LOB
74%
17%
9%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
LOB
1 - 1
CHI
28%
29%
43%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2018 |
PUE
2 - 2
LOB
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
LOB
3 - 1
MOR
25%
26%
50%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |