Liga MX Finals - Apertura Quarter-finals
Global 2-4
Cruz Azul vs León analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
21.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CAZ
1 - 1
MON
48%
25%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 1
CAZ
58%
22%
20%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
CAZ
3 - 0
TOL
55%
24%
22%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
TIJ
2 - 2
CAZ
34%
29%
37%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
CAZ
3 - 2
QRO
69%
20%
12%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
LEO
3 - 1
ATS
67%
19%
14%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2012 |
ATL
2 - 3
LEO
39%
26%
35%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
LEO
4 - 1
JAG
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
AME
2 - 1
LEO
56%
22%
21%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
LEO
2 - 0
TIG
44%
25%
30%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |