Cruz Azul vs Irapuato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
13.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
CAZ
2 - 0
PUM
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
PUE
3 - 2
CAZ
34%
26%
40%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
CAZ
3 - 1
NEC
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
CHI
4 - 3
CAZ
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
CAZ
3 - 1
TOL
37%
26%
37%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Irapuato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
IRA
0 - 0
JAG
36%
27%
37%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
PUM
0 - 0
IRA
78%
15%
8%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
IRA
0 - 0
ATL
31%
26%
42%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
PUE
6 - 0
IRA
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
IRA
0 - 3
SAN
29%
26%
45%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |