Cruz Azul vs FC Juárez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.6%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
10.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CAZ
1 - 1
PUE
51%
26%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
CAF
1 - 2
CAZ
26%
24%
50%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
PUM
2 - 2
CAZ
49%
26%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CAZ
4 - 0
MON
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
CAZ
5 - 2
CAF
74%
16%
10%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
FC Juárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
UAT
0 - 3
JUA
40%
27%
32%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
JUA
1 - 1
UDG
44%
25%
30%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
JUA
0 - 0
CAÑ
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ALE
1 - 0
JUA
56%
25%
20%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
UDG
0 - 1
JUA
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |