Cruz Azul vs Atlas FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
15.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
LEO
0 - 0
CAZ
52%
23%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
CAZ
5 - 1
KCW
54%
25%
20%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
CAZ
2 - 1
TIJ
50%
26%
25%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
KCW
1 - 0
CAZ
34%
27%
40%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
ALT
1 - 1
CAZ
17%
21%
62%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Atlas FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ATS
1 - 1
CHI
49%
27%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
VER
0 - 1
ATS
38%
28%
34%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
QRO
1 - 0
ATS
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
ATS
2 - 2
JAG
45%
27%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 3
ATS
68%
20%
13%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |