Valdepeñas vs Real Ávila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
32.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valdepeñas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1949 |
CDB
2 - 1
MAN
39%
22%
39%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
ORI
4 - 1
CDB
87%
8%
5%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1949 |
CDB
0 - 0
UBC
50%
21%
29%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
CIE
1 - 0
CDB
83%
10%
7%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
CDB
1 - 3
ALC
43%
22%
35%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Real Ávila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1949 |
ORI
5 - 4
AVI
69%
16%
15%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
AVI
4 - 2
CIE
72%
14%
14%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1949 |
TAL
4 - 1
AVI
63%
18%
19%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
AVI
7 - 3
RAY
30%
25%
45%
|
37 | 66 | 29 | +3 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
TOM
2 - 2
AVI
67%
17%
16%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |