Tornado vs Real Aranjuez CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
36.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tornado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
ATM
1 - 5
TOR
74%
16%
10%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
NAV
3 - 1
TOR
69%
19%
12%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
TOR
1 - 0
CIE
27%
24%
50%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
COS
0 - 0
TOR
65%
19%
15%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
TOR
0 - 2
ADP
29%
24%
47%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
ARA
0 - 2
CIE
57%
22%
21%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
COS
3 - 0
ARA
36%
27%
37%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -2 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
ARA
2 - 2
ADP
51%
23%
25%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
CAR
0 - 1
ARA
26%
26%
48%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
ARA
1 - 0
LEG
43%
24%
33%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |