Tornado vs AD Parla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
47.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tornado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
TOR
2 - 1
CAR
46%
23%
30%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
LEG
1 - 2
TOR
79%
14%
8%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
TOR
1 - 1
LRZ
20%
25%
55%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
RVB
1 - 1
TOR
79%
14%
7%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
TOR
0 - 2
TRJ
20%
23%
56%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
AD Parla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
CIE
1 - 0
ADP
43%
26%
31%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
ADP
0 - 0
COS
64%
21%
15%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
NAV
2 - 2
ADP
60%
23%
17%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
CAR
2 - 1
ADP
21%
25%
54%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
ADP
2 - 2
LEG
41%
25%
34%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |