Tornado vs Móstoles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
61.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tornado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
PNT
6 - 0
TOR
81%
13%
6%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
TOR
1 - 0
PBO
22%
24%
54%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
RMC
1 - 1
TOR
89%
8%
3%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
TOR
3 - 1
STA
11%
18%
71%
|
11 | 30 | 19 | +4 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
ARA
5 - 1
TOR
87%
9%
4%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Móstoles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
MST
1 - 2
CIE
72%
18%
10%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
COS
0 - 2
MST
27%
27%
47%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
MST
2 - 0
ADP
59%
22%
19%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
CAR
0 - 3
MST
18%
25%
56%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
MST
3 - 4
LEG
56%
23%
21%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |