Tornado vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
44.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tornado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
MST
1 - 1
TOR
74%
16%
10%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
TOR
1 - 0
PNT
20%
22%
58%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +2 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
PBO
2 - 3
TOR
43%
24%
33%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
TOR
2 - 2
RMC
26%
24%
51%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
STA
3 - 1
TOR
65%
20%
16%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
SFN
4 - 2
CIE
55%
24%
22%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
COS
0 - 2
SFN
34%
28%
39%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
SFN
3 - 0
ADP
46%
26%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +2 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
CAR
0 - 4
SFN
24%
28%
48%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
SFN
1 - 2
LEG
54%
24%
22%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |