CD Toledo vs UB Conquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
52.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
RAC
3 - 0
CDT
66%
20%
14%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
CDT
1 - 1
ATB
28%
27%
45%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
ALC
2 - 0
CDT
71%
18%
10%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
CDT
1 - 2
GUA
23%
28%
50%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
CDT
1 - 0
VEC
27%
28%
46%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
UB Conquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
UBC
1 - 3
ULP
52%
26%
23%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
LAN
1 - 3
UBC
29%
25%
46%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
UBC
0 - 0
OVI
58%
24%
18%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
VIL
1 - 1
UBC
24%
24%
52%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
UBC
1 - 0
GIM
58%
22%
20%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |