CD Toledo vs Real Aranjuez CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
22.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1960 |
MAN
4 - 1
CDT
83%
11%
6%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1960 |
CDT
4 - 1
ALC
50%
22%
29%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +3 |
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
GUA
1 - 2
CDT
62%
19%
19%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1960 |
CDT
4 - 0
VIL
87%
8%
4%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1960 |
DBN
1 - 1
CDT
79%
12%
9%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1960 |
ARA
0 - 0
VIL
55%
21%
24%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1960 |
MER
1 - 1
ARA
68%
17%
15%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
ARA
3 - 2
GIM
54%
22%
25%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 1960 |
MAN
2 - 1
ARA
79%
13%
9%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1960 |
GIM
2 - 1
ARA
66%
18%
16%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |