CD Toledo vs Femsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.3%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.5%
6.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1963 |
PUL
3 - 1
CDT
80%
12%
8%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1963 |
CDT
1 - 0
UBC
79%
13%
8%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1963 |
TAL
2 - 1
CDT
73%
15%
12%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1963 |
CDT
1 - 1
AVI
88%
8%
4%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1963 |
GUA
0 - 3
CDT
55%
21%
24%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Femsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1963 |
FEM
0 - 1
RAY
32%
24%
44%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1963 |
PUL
5 - 1
FEM
89%
7%
4%
|
25 | 52 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1963 |
FEM
4 - 3
ARA
53%
22%
25%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 1963 |
UBC
1 - 3
FEM
76%
15%
10%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1963 |
FEM
1 - 4
TOR
80%
13%
8%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | -1 |