CD San Fernando vs Real Aranjuez CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
20.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
+52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2000 |
ALC
2 - 1
SFN
74%
17%
9%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2000 |
SFN
1 - 0
NAV
33%
28%
39%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2000 |
COL
2 - 1
SFN
55%
25%
21%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2000 |
SFN
1 - 1
SNF
50%
24%
26%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
PNT
5 - 3
SFN
56%
25%
18%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2000 |
ARA
2 - 4
RMC
18%
24%
58%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2000 |
MST
3 - 1
ARA
75%
17%
8%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2000 |
ARA
1 - 1
RVB
29%
27%
44%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2000 |
GET
1 - 0
ARA
54%
26%
21%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
ARA
2 - 2
ATC
57%
22%
21%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |