CD Real Sociedad vs Honduras Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
29%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
RSO
1 - 1
MAR
27%
26%
48%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
PLA
0 - 3
RSO
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
RSO
3 - 3
MOT
16%
24%
61%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
OLI
3 - 1
RSO
73%
18%
9%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
JAG
1 - 2
RSO
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
HNP
0 - 5
OLI
13%
21%
66%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2021 |
MOT
5 - 2
HNP
73%
18%
9%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
JAG
0 - 2
HNP
55%
23%
22%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2021 |
HNP
2 - 2
PLA
28%
25%
48%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2021 |
HNP
1 - 1
RES
24%
26%
50%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |