Morata CD vs Herrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
39.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morata CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
ZAR
4 - 2
CDM
44%
25%
31%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
CDC
5 - 2
CDM
45%
24%
30%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
CDM
0 - 1
GIN
37%
25%
39%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
ATC
1 - 0
CDM
44%
25%
31%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
UDC
0 - 1
CDM
46%
26%
28%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Herrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
HER
2 - 3
CDC
55%
21%
24%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
GIN
1 - 1
HER
63%
20%
17%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
HER
2 - 0
ATC
42%
23%
36%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
HER
2 - 2
UDC
45%
24%
31%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
LAA
1 - 0
HER
60%
20%
20%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |