CD Málaga vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
24.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1957 |
MUR
2 - 0
MAL
76%
14%
10%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1957 |
MAL
2 - 0
CDT
67%
19%
15%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 1957 |
MAL
2 - 0
EXT
72%
16%
12%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1957 |
SDC
2 - 0
MAL
61%
20%
19%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 1957 |
MAL
3 - 0
PUE
79%
12%
8%
|
60 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1957 |
HER
3 - 0
EXT
75%
15%
10%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1957 |
SDC
0 - 0
HER
42%
25%
33%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1957 |
HER
1 - 0
PUE
82%
11%
7%
|
65 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1957 |
GRA
2 - 2
HER
62%
20%
18%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1957 |
HER
0 - 2
CAD
82%
12%
7%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | -1 |