CD Lugo Fuenlabrada vs SAD Villaverde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
60.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo Fuenlabrada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
RMC
2 - 0
LUG
74%
16%
10%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
LUG
1 - 0
RVM
32%
24%
45%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
MOB
1 - 1
LUG
74%
18%
9%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
COL
0 - 0
LUG
78%
15%
7%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
LUG
1 - 2
MOB
15%
20%
65%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
SAD Villaverde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 1
MOS
40%
27%
34%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ALA
3 - 0
VIL
42%
24%
34%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 1
VLO
35%
26%
39%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 1
CDF
68%
20%
12%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
CLA
1 - 1
VIL
22%
24%
55%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |