CD Lorca vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
29.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lorca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1952 |
LEV
3 - 1
LOR
88%
8%
4%
|
34 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1952 |
LOR
2 - 0
ELC
58%
19%
23%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +2 |
| 02 Nov. 1952 |
CAT
2 - 1
LOR
82%
11%
7%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1952 |
LOR
7 - 1
MHN
63%
18%
19%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +3 |
| 19 Oct. 1952 |
ALB
1 - 1
LOR
88%
8%
4%
|
29 | 49 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1952 |
NOV
3 - 0
ASP
74%
14%
12%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1952 |
HEL
9 - 2
NOV
69%
16%
15%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 Nov. 1952 |
LEV
4 - 4
NOV
85%
9%
5%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1952 |
NOV
2 - 3
ELC
83%
10%
7%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1952 |
CAT
6 - 1
NOV
62%
19%
19%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -2 |