Leganés C vs UD Móstoles Balompié analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.7%
42.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leganés C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
LEG
4 - 2
LUL
67%
17%
16%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CFM
5 - 4
LEG
19%
20%
61%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
LEG
1 - 1
BET
65%
18%
17%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
GRI
2 - 3
LEG
51%
21%
29%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
LEG
0 - 1
AVA
73%
15%
12%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
UD Móstoles Balompié
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
MBP
1 - 0
CFM
79%
13%
8%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
BET
1 - 5
MBP
28%
21%
51%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
MBP
1 - 0
GRI
59%
19%
22%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
AVA
2 - 2
MBP
27%
20%
53%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
MBP
2 - 1
LAA
89%
8%
3%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |