CD Guadalajara vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
12.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 0
NOV
79%
14%
7%
|
65 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
GRA
1 - 1
GUA
24%
27%
49%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
NOV
1 - 0
GUA
13%
22%
65%
|
65 | 41 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 0
PAL
79%
14%
6%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 2
ZAR
77%
15%
8%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
LUC
1 - 1
PAL
64%
22%
14%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
ECI
0 - 2
LUC
32%
28%
40%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
LUC
2 - 1
ALG
61%
23%
16%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
CAD
2 - 0
LUC
55%
25%
20%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
LUC
4 - 0
SAN
58%
24%
18%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |