CD Fortuna vs Real Aranjuez CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
45.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CDF
1 - 0
PNT
36%
24%
40%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
CAM
4 - 2
CDF
61%
21%
18%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
CDF
5 - 0
VIL
37%
24%
39%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +2 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
RMC
2 - 1
CDF
64%
19%
17%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
CDF
0 - 1
RVM
67%
18%
15%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ARA
1 - 1
CAM
38%
24%
39%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
YEB
1 - 3
ARA
45%
23%
33%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
CDE
1 - 0
ARA
70%
18%
13%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
ARA
0 - 3
RMA
7%
14%
79%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
ARA
1 - 5
VAL
30%
26%
44%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |