CD Fortuna vs Real Aranjuez CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
34.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
COL
0 - 1
CDF
70%
19%
12%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
CDF
1 - 0
YEB
18%
23%
60%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
ARA
0 - 0
CDF
70%
18%
12%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
CDV
2 - 0
CDF
65%
21%
14%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
CDF
0 - 2
ALA
26%
25%
50%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
YEB
1 - 1
ARA
71%
17%
13%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
ARA
0 - 1
CDV
43%
26%
32%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
ARA
0 - 0
CDF
70%
18%
12%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
ALA
2 - 0
ARA
59%
21%
20%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
ARA
3 - 0
PBO
90%
8%
2%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | 0 |