CD Fortuna vs El Álamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
64%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
PAR
3 - 2
CDF
67%
19%
15%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
CDF
0 - 1
VIL
25%
23%
52%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
VLO
5 - 0
CDF
58%
22%
20%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
CDF
2 - 1
CAR
20%
22%
59%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ARG
2 - 2
CDF
37%
24%
38%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
El Álamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
ALA
2 - 0
CAM
81%
13%
6%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
YEB
1 - 2
ALA
19%
21%
59%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 0
MOB
81%
13%
6%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
RMC
1 - 0
ALA
32%
23%
45%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ALA
2 - 0
MOB
75%
16%
10%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | +1 |