Ibarsos vs San Mateo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
14.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibarsos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
IBA
3 - 1
MOR
72%
16%
12%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 2
IBA
18%
20%
62%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
IBA
2 - 1
ORP
44%
23%
33%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
VIN
1 - 1
IBA
30%
23%
47%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
IBA
5 - 0
BEN
54%
21%
25%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
San Mateo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
MAT
1 - 0
CAL
61%
20%
19%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
ORP
1 - 2
MAT
72%
16%
12%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
MAT
1 - 0
VIN
30%
23%
48%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2015 |
BEN
0 - 0
MAT
59%
20%
21%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
MAT
0 - 0
TRA
22%
22%
56%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |