CD Comercio vs San Martín Formosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
63.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+131%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
LAG
4 - 1
COM
64%
19%
17%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
COM
3 - 1
ARN
40%
23%
37%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
JUC
2 - 1
COM
41%
23%
36%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
CSC
1 - 0
COM
16%
20%
64%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
COM
0 - 0
FON
52%
22%
27%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
San Martín Formosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
SMA
1 - 0
LAG
74%
17%
9%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
ARN
1 - 2
SMA
18%
21%
61%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
SMA
2 - 1
JUC
83%
12%
6%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
CSC
0 - 0
SMA
11%
18%
72%
|
46 | 17 | 29 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
FON
2 - 2
SMA
17%
21%
62%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |