CD Comercio vs San Lorenzo La Tigra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.5%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.6%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
11%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11%
5.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
UYF
1 - 1
COM
14%
19%
68%
|
27 | 11 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
COM
7 - 0
ACH
85%
10%
5%
|
26 | 7 | 19 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
FTN
0 - 0
COM
13%
18%
69%
|
27 | 10 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
COM
2 - 0
UYF
85%
11%
5%
|
26 | 9 | 17 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ACH
0 - 1
COM
10%
16%
74%
|
26 | 8 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
San Lorenzo La Tigra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
SLT
1 - 1
LSP
42%
22%
36%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
CSQ
2 - 3
SLT
37%
22%
42%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
SLT
1 - 0
USP
43%
22%
36%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
LSP
2 - 0
SLT
37%
22%
42%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
SLT
2 - 0
CSQ
48%
21%
31%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |