CD Comercio vs Instituto Santiago analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
27.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
UNI
0 - 0
COM
56%
22%
22%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
COM
3 - 1
SPO
11%
19%
70%
|
23 | 59 | 36 | +2 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 0
COM
74%
16%
10%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
COM
0 - 0
CAG
25%
24%
51%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
SAR
1 - 2
COM
58%
21%
21%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Instituto Santiago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
INS
1 - 0
JUC
48%
23%
29%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CSC
3 - 3
INS
19%
21%
60%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 1
INS
56%
22%
22%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
INS
2 - 1
SPO
10%
19%
71%
|
23 | 59 | 36 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 0
INS
77%
15%
8%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |