Torneo Federal B qualifying rounds 1/16
Global 1-4
CD Comercio vs Fontana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
49.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
JHC
3 - 1
COM
31%
23%
46%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
COM
2 - 2
HUR
71%
16%
13%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
AVA
0 - 1
COM
61%
20%
20%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
COM
5 - 1
JHC
55%
21%
24%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +2 |
| 25 Nov. 2021 |
HUR
0 - 2
COM
34%
23%
43%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Fontana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
CSC
2 - 1
FON
20%
21%
59%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2021 |
FON
3 - 1
FGB
79%
14%
7%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
PTR
0 - 1
FON
35%
23%
43%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
FON
1 - 0
CSC
72%
17%
12%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
FGB
0 - 3
FON
17%
20%
63%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | +1 |