CD Comercio vs Fontana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
43%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
COM
0 - 0
RES
27%
23%
50%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
CAS
0 - 0
COM
38%
24%
38%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
COM
2 - 3
JUC
62%
20%
18%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
OCF
1 - 2
COM
15%
20%
65%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
COM
2 - 2
IND
26%
23%
51%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Fontana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
FON
1 - 2
CAS
75%
15%
10%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
JUC
3 - 4
FON
28%
23%
49%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
FON
3 - 1
OCF
85%
11%
5%
|
23 | 10 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
IND
0 - 0
FON
59%
21%
21%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
FON
1 - 0
CSC
87%
10%
4%
|
24 | 9 | 15 | 0 |