Chamartin Vergara vs Guadalix de la Sierra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.8%
28.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chamartin Vergara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
FSA
0 - 5
CHA
16%
17%
67%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
JSB
2 - 3
CHA
59%
19%
23%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
CHA
3 - 2
MSP
43%
21%
36%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
PED
0 - 5
CHA
53%
20%
27%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
CHA
8 - 3
ALT
58%
19%
24%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Guadalix de la Sierra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
GSI
3 - 0
FTC
44%
22%
34%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
CER
1 - 4
GSI
27%
20%
53%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
GSI
2 - 1
MOL
66%
18%
16%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
UNI
0 - 4
GSI
66%
17%
18%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
GSI
2 - 1
ATA
44%
22%
34%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |