Centenario vs UMECIT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
28.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centenario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
SSM
2 - 1
CEN
35%
26%
39%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
COL
2 - 4
CEN
31%
25%
44%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
CEN
1 - 0
ARA
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
CHA
2 - 5
CEN
54%
24%
23%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
CEN
2 - 3
UME
45%
27%
28%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
UMECIT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
COL
0 - 1
UME
38%
25%
37%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
UME
3 - 2
AFC
33%
26%
42%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
AFC
2 - 0
UME
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
UME
1 - 1
ARA
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
UME
1 - 0
CHA
40%
26%
34%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |