Centenario vs Tierra Firme analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centenario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
CEN
0 - 0
OES
44%
25%
30%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
RIV
0 - 1
CEN
33%
26%
42%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
COL
2 - 0
CEN
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
CEN
2 - 1
NAC
33%
27%
39%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +2 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
MIL
2 - 1
CEN
59%
22%
19%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Tierra Firme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 2
TIE
71%
18%
11%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
TIE
1 - 5
MIL
27%
25%
48%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2015 |
TIE
4 - 3
CHI
42%
25%
33%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
COS
3 - 1
TIE
70%
19%
12%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
TIE
3 - 0
RIO
22%
25%
53%
|
40 | 60 | 20 | +1 |