Centenario vs Tierra Firme analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
32.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centenario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
CEN
1 - 1
NAC
26%
25%
49%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ORI
2 - 2
CEN
30%
23%
47%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
CEN
0 - 1
SUN
21%
23%
56%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
CEN
1 - 1
MSM
31%
25%
44%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
COL
0 - 0
CEN
63%
20%
17%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Tierra Firme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
TIE
1 - 0
COL
45%
24%
31%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
TIE
1 - 3
MSM
36%
25%
39%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 2014 |
TIE
1 - 1
NAC
33%
25%
41%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
TIE
3 - 0
ORI
75%
15%
10%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
TIE
1 - 4
SUN
25%
24%
50%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | -1 |