Centenario vs Sporting San Miguelito II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.2%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
69.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
10º
12º
12º
32
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 36 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 16 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 8 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
5 | 5 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centenario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
UME
4 - 1
CEN
84%
11%
4%
|
29 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
ARA
2 - 3
CEN
73%
16%
11%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CEN
1 - 5
UME
9%
21%
70%
|
28 | 58 | 30 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
4 - 0
CEN
84%
12%
5%
|
28 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
SSM
9 - 0
CEN
81%
14%
6%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
SSM
0 - 0
ARA
76%
16%
8%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
UME
0 - 0
SSM
55%
24%
22%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
TFC
3 - 1
SSM
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
SSM
3 - 0
TFC
35%
26%
39%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
SSM
4 - 1
COL
77%
15%
8%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |