Centenario vs Atl. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
42.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centenario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
MSM
1 - 2
CEN
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2017 |
CEN
2 - 2
SUN
33%
29%
39%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
COS
1 - 2
CEN
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
CEN
1 - 1
SMA
30%
27%
43%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
RIO
2 - 2
CEN
42%
26%
32%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 1
AZU
57%
23%
21%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2017 |
MSM
0 - 5
NAC
35%
26%
39%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 0
COL
73%
18%
10%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
SUN
3 - 2
NAC
38%
27%
35%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
COS
1 - 0
NAC
39%
26%
35%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |