Centenario vs Millenium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
37.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centenario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 2
CEN
39%
26%
35%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
CEN
0 - 0
COS
28%
26%
47%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
RIO
0 - 0
CEN
71%
19%
11%
|
43 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
CEN
0 - 0
VER
22%
23%
56%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
CEN
1 - 0
SUN
20%
24%
56%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Millenium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
MIL
0 - 1
NAC
42%
26%
33%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
MIL
1 - 2
COL
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 1
MIL
27%
25%
48%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
MIL
0 - 0
COS
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2014 |
GEM
0 - 0
MIL
54%
24%
22%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |