Centenario vs Independiente Chorrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
41.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centenario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
OES
0 - 1
CEN
50%
24%
26%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
CEN
1 - 0
OES
43%
27%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
CEN
4 - 1
COL
40%
27%
34%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2016 |
CEN
0 - 0
CHO
8%
15%
77%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CEN
2 - 1
RIO
57%
24%
20%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
IND
3 - 2
CHI
42%
25%
32%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CHI
0 - 0
IND
45%
28%
28%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
IND
1 - 1
MSM
58%
22%
20%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
IND
1 - 0
COS
59%
22%
18%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2016 |
IND
4 - 0
OES
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |