Centenario vs Atl. Chiriquí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
36.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centenario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
VER
2 - 4
CEN
58%
25%
18%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2018 |
SMA
1 - 1
CEN
56%
24%
19%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
COS
1 - 0
CEN
60%
24%
16%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2018 |
COL
0 - 0
CEN
36%
27%
37%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2018 |
CEN
1 - 0
COL
52%
25%
23%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Chiriquí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
CHI
0 - 1
SMA
44%
27%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2018 |
OES
1 - 2
CHI
38%
26%
36%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
OES
3 - 1
CHI
36%
26%
38%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
NAC
0 - 2
CHI
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +2 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
CHI
0 - 0
CEN
44%
28%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |