Centenario vs Atl. Chiriquí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
37.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centenario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
CEN
3 - 3
NAC
30%
28%
42%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
MSM
1 - 2
CEN
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2017 |
CEN
2 - 2
SUN
33%
29%
39%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
COS
1 - 2
CEN
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
CEN
1 - 1
SMA
30%
27%
43%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Chiriquí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
CHI
0 - 0
MSM
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
SUN
2 - 1
CHI
45%
25%
30%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
CHI
0 - 1
COS
50%
27%
23%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
SMA
2 - 0
CHI
44%
25%
32%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
CHI
0 - 0
RIO
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |